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Canada Immigration Backlog Increases By 6% – New IRCC Data

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IRCC Minister - Canada Immigration backlog 2023

Canada immigration backlog ends 4-month reduction streak as per latest IRCC data updated yesterday. IRCC backlog stood at 974,600.

This is a 6% increase in backlog numbers as compared to the official IRCC data of December 2022.

Immigration backlog was continuously reducing since September 2022. It came down from 1,322,500 to 918,300 as of December 31, 2022.

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Increase is backlog was only recorded among temporary residence applications (+15%), but permanent residence (-3.5%) and citizenship applications (-2.35%) actually saw a drop in backlog.

Furthermore, 969,900 applications were still being processed within the IRCC service standards. This is a drop from 1.055 million applications in December.

Overall, IRCC was processing total of 1,944,500 applications according to data noted on January 31.

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Date Backlog Total Applications
Under Processing
January 31, 2023 974,600 1,944,500
December 31, 2022 918,300 1,973,800
November 30, 2022 1,086,200 2,111,400
October 31, 2022 1,202,790 2,239,700
September 30, 2022 1,322,500 2,610,700

IRCC minister has previously mentioned that backlog data and service standard data should be seen differently.

For example, if spousal sponsorship has a 12-month standard processing period, an application that is handled within 12 months is “NOT” a backlog. It will instead be regarded as normal processing.

But, if it exceeds the 12-month service standard, then only it should be considered a backlog.

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IRCC aims to finish 80% of applications within these service standards. Click here to know more about IRCC service standards.

Application Type Overall Processing Inventory Backlog Within Service Standards
Citizenship 303,000 83,000 220,000
Permanent Residence 617,500 348,600 268,900
Temporary Residence 1,024,000 543,000 481,000
Total 1,944,500 974,600 969,900

IRCC Projections On Canada Immigration Backlog For 2023

1. Backlog Projections For Federal High Skilled

Month Backlog (Actual) Backlog (Projected)
Jan 22 89%
Feb 22 92%
Mar 22 98%
Apr 22 99%
May 22 100%
Jun 22 100%
Jul 22 99%
Aug 22 90% 86%
Sep 22 68% 72%
Oct 22 45% 59%
Nov 22 31% 46%
Dec 22 22% 20%
Jan 23 20% 20%
Feb 23 20%
Mar 23 20%

2. Backlog Projections For Express Entry Provincial Nominee Program

Month Backlog (Actual) Backlog (Projected)
Jan 22 56%
Feb 22 55%
Mar 22 54%
Apr 22 51%
May 22 47%
Jun 22 45%
Jul 22 43%
Aug 22 42% 39%
Sep 22 40% 35%
Oct 22 42% 31%
Nov 22 42% 28%
Dec 22 41% 20%
Jan 23 38% 40%
Feb 23 39%
Mar 23 38%

3. Backlog Projections for Spouses, Partners and children applications

Month Backlog (Actual) Backlog (Projected)
Jan 22 34%
Feb 22 32%
Mar 22 30%
Apr 22 29%
May 22 27%
Jun 22 27%
Jul 22 26%
Aug 22 25% 24%
Sep 22 25% 23%
Oct 22 24% 22%
Nov 22 24% 20%
Dec 22 24% 19%
Jan 23 24% 24%
Feb 23 24%
Mar 23 24%

4. Citizenship Backlog Projections

Month Backlog (Actual) Backlog (Projected)
Jan 22 46%
Feb 22 45%
Mar 22 42%
Apr 22 40%
May 22 39%
Jun 22 37%
Jul 22 35%
Aug 22 30% 30%
Sep 22 30% 30%
Oct 22 28% 28%
Nov 22 29% 27%
Dec 22 28% 26%
Jan 23 27% 26%
Feb 23 25%
Mar 23 24%

5. Study Permit Applications’ Backlog Projections

Month Backlog (Actual) Backlog (Projected)
Jan 22 42%
Feb 22 34%
Mar 22 27%
Apr 22 32%
May 22 31%
Jun 22 30%
Jul 22 31%
Aug 22 38% 39%
Sep 22 31% 42%
Oct 22 26% 33%
Nov 22 28% 31%
Dec 22 32% 33%
Jan 23 35% 36%
Feb 23 33%
Mar 23 23%

6. Work Permit Applications’ Backlog Projections

**According to IRCC, about 73% of work visa applications originate from the Canada-Ukraine emergency travel permission.

Month Backlog (Actual) Backlog (Projected)
Jan 22 48%
Feb 22 51%
Mar 22 29%
Apr 22 23%
May 22 26%
Jun 22 28%
Jul 22 28%
Aug 22 34% 29%
Sep 22 27% 35%
Oct 22 23% 49%
Nov 22 24% 55%
Dec 22 25% 60%
Jan 23 26% 26%
Feb 23 28%
Mar 23 28%

7. Backlog Projections For Temporary Resident Visa (TRV) or Visitor Visa

**The Canada-Ukraine authorization for emergency travel accounts for 20% of temporary resident visa or visitor visa applications, according to IRCC.

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Month Backlog (Actual) Backlog (Projected)
Jan 22 70%
Feb 22 74%
Mar 22 55%
Apr 22 55%
May 22 56%
Jun 22 71%
Jul 22 67%
Aug 22 71% 68%
Sep 22 74% 71%
Oct 22 74% 70%
Nov 22 70% 67%
Dec 22 70% 77%
Jan 23 68% 68%
Feb 23 68%
Mar 23 65%

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