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Inexperienced Card Disaster: Solely 3% to Achieve 2024 as Backlog Explodes



Within the realm of immigration to america, hopeful inexperienced card candidates are grappling with staggering odds as they navigate the complicated system in fiscal yr (FY) 2024. Current knowledge reveals a grim actuality: solely roughly 3% of candidates are projected to safe everlasting standing this yr.

This statistic underscores a major problem exacerbated by a large surge in pending Inexperienced Card functions, which ballooned to roughly 34.7 million on the onset of FY 2024—a stark improve from 10 million in 1996.


Key Statistics

Approvals Dwindle: Solely 3% of functions are anticipated to be authorised in 2024, a mere glimpse of a inexperienced card for the fortunate few.

Backlog Swells: 34.7 million functions sit in a rising backlog, in comparison with simply 10 million in 1996. That’s nearly 3.5 occasions extra ready in limbo.

Lottery Odds Stacked Towards You: The favored Inexperienced Card Lottery provides a meagre 0.25% probability of successful, like discovering a needle in a haystack with 22.2 million entries.


Employment Route Presents Little Hope: Even for expert professionals, the trail is hard. Solely 8% of employment-based functions are projected for approval.

Wait Instances Stretch into Many years: For Indians within the employer-sponsored class, the wait may very well be so long as a century, leaving goals deferred for generations.

Caps, Backlogs, and the Lottery Woes

Inexperienced card caps, applied in 1921, have considerably restricted approvals, dropping from a mean of 98% pre-caps to a mere 3% projected for FY 2024.


Unused cap slots (6.3 million since 1921) exacerbate the difficulty, leaving hundreds of thousands ready in a rising backlog.

The Inexperienced Card Lottery, with the very best variety of candidates (22.2 million in 2023), provides a minuscule probability of success (0.25%) resulting from its stagnant cap of 55,000.

Household and Employment Classes Wrestle

Household-sponsored immigration faces limitations with capped classes (226,000) and uncapped classes affected by processing backlogs (8.3 million candidates).


Employment-based inexperienced playing cards are equally difficult, with solely 8% of the 1.8 million pending functions anticipated for approval in FY 2024. The hole between demand and provide persists regardless of an interim cap improve.

Nation caps add one other layer of complexity, probably pushing candidates from high-immigration nations (like India) additional again within the queue, regardless of longer wait occasions.

Additionally Learn: US Citizenship: India Now Second with 59,100 Naturalized in 2023


Pressing Want for Reform

The extended delays not solely influence people looking for employment-based inexperienced playing cards but in addition elevate broader questions concerning the equity and effectivity of the immigration course of in america.

Alarmingly, candidates from nations comparable to China and India might face waits extending over a decade, with some projections suggesting a wait of greater than a century.

Complete reforms are urgently wanted to handle the inefficiencies and inequities within the present system, as highlighted by latest knowledge and skilled evaluation.

  • Rising inexperienced card caps to satisfy demand
  • Streamlining processing occasions for each household and employment classes
  • Eliminating outdated nation caps to make sure a fairer system
  • Modernizing the Inexperienced Card Lottery to mirror present wants

In conclusion, as inexperienced card candidates confront daunting odds and extended wait occasions, the necessity for substantive reform to the immigration system turns into more and more pressing.

(With Inputs From Cato Institute report)

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